COVID-19 Update May 26
COVID-19 Update May 26th, 2020 by Dr. Andrew Morris Edited by Anton Helman Epidemiology and Prevention of COVID-19 We have no idea how to prevent COVID-19 with non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), but it is clear that jurisdictions that have effectively pursued a test, trace, isolate approach combined with physical distancing and mask-wearing can get COVID-19 under control. Those that cannot do not get COVID-19 under control. As it stands, there are no effective pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19. Perhaps the most hotly pursued was hydroxychloroquine prophylaxis. We await the clinical trials. I will discuss treatment later on. If we talk about acquisition of disease, the epidemiology has been fairly consistent: the highest risk comes from prolonged, close contact, indoors, unmasked, ideally with shared surfaces or food. So household contacts are important, but there have been several high-profile outbreaks, including the well-described choir practice, where 61 people attended a 2.5h choir practice where there was one symptomatic person, with an attack rate of 53-87%, resulting in 3 hospitalizations and 2 deaths. What becomes less clear is the role of children in disease acquisition and transmission. Epidemiologists struggle with this a bit, because children are long believed to be [...]